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In this paper, we investigated the seasonal and geomagnetic dependence of the auroral ‐region neutral winds and the tidal components between 90 and 125 km using nearly continuously sampled measurements from the Poker Flat Incoherent Scatter Radar (PFISR) from 2010 to 2019. The average winds show consistent semidiurnal oscillations between 100 and 115 km and diurnal oscillations above 115 km in all seasons with some seasonal and geomagnetic activity dependencies. In general, the semidiurnal oscillation in zonal and meridional directions is strongest in summer and weakest in winter. The diurnal oscillation is strongest in winter and weakest in spring. More details on the seasonal and geomagnetic activity dependencies are revealed in the tidal decomposition results. Tidal decomposition results show eastward mean wind below 115 km in summer, fall, and winter and westward mean wind above 115 km in all seasons. The meridional mean is northward below 115 km and southward above in all seasons. The diurnal amplitudes are small below 110 km and increase with altitude above 110 km in all seasons with larger enhancements in the meridional direction. The semidiurnal amplitudes increase with altitude below 110 km and reach a maximum at around 110 km, then decrease or keep stable (depending on the geomagnetic activity) above 110 km in both directions and all seasons. The diurnal phases shift to earlier times with the increase of geomagnetic activity but show different variations with altitudes in zonal and meridional directions. The semidiurnal phases show a downward progressing trend in both directions and in all seasons. 

Magnetospheric precipitation plays an important role for the coupling of Magnetosphere, Ionosphere, and Thermosphere (M-I-T) systems. Particles from different origins could be energized through various physical mechanisms and in turn disturb the Ionosphere, the ionized region of the Earth’s atmosphere that is important for telecommunication and spacecraft operations. Known to cause aurora, bright displays of light across the night sky, magnetospheric particle precipitation, modifies ionospheric conductance further affecting the plasma convection, field-aligned (FAC) and ionospheric currents, and ionospheric/thermospheric temperature and densities. Therefore, understanding the properties of different sources of magnetospheric precipitation and their relative roles on electrodynamic coupling of M-I across a broad range of spatiotemporal scales is crucial. In this paper, we detail some of the important open questions regarding the origins of magnetospheric particle precipitation and how precipitation affects ionospheric conductance. In a companion paper titled “The Significance of Magnetospheric Precipitation for the Coupling of Magnetosphere-Ionosphere-Thermosphere Systems: Effects on Ionospheric Conductance”, we describe how particle precipitation affects the vertical structure of the ionospheric conductivity and provide recommendations to improve its modelling. 

Abstract This study presents a data‐driven approach to quantify uncertainties in the ionosphere‐thermosphere (IT) system due to varying solar wind parameters (drivers) during quiet conditions (Kp < 4) and fixed solar radiation and lower atmospheric conditions representative of 16 March 2013. Ensemble simulations of the coupled Whole Atmosphere Model with Ionosphere Plasmasphere Electrodynamics (WAM‐IPE) driven by synthetic solar wind drivers generated through a multi‐channel variational autoencoder (MCVAE) model are obtained. Applying the polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) technique, it is possible to estimate the means and variances of the QoIs as well as the sensitivities of the QoIs with regard to the drivers. Our results highlight unique features of the IT system's uncertainty: (a) the uncertainty of the IT system is larger during nighttime; (b) the spatial distributions of the uncertainty for electron density and zonal drift at fixed local times present 4 peaks in the evening sector, which are associated with the low‐density regions of longitude structure of electron density; (c) the uncertainty of the equatorial electron density is highly correlated with the uncertainty of the zonal drift, especially in the evening sector, while it is weakly correlated with the vertical drift. A variance‐based global sensitivity analysis suggests that the IMF Bz plays a dominant role in the uncertainty of electron density. A further discussion shows that the uncertainty of the IT system is determined by the magnitudes and universal time variations of solar wind drivers. Its temporal and spatial distribution can be modulated by the average state of the IT system. 

Abstract Mesoscale high‐latitude electric fields are known to deposit energy into the ionospheric and thermospheric system, yet the energy deposition process is not fully understood. We conduct a case study to quantify the energy deposition from mesoscale high‐latitude electric fields to the thermosphere. For the investigation, we obtain the high‐latitude electric field with mesoscale variabilities from Poker Flat Incoherent Scatter Radar measurements during a moderate geomagnetic storm, providing the driver for the Global Ionosphere and Thermosphere Model (GITM) via the High‐latitude Input for Mesoscale Electrodynamics framework. The HIME‐GITM simulation is compared with GITM simulations driven by the large‐scale electric field from the Weimer model. Our modeling results indicate that the mesoscale electric field modifies the thermospheric energy budget primarily through enhancing the Joule heating. Specifically, in the local high‐latitude region of interest, the mesoscale electric field enhances the Joule heating by up to five times. The resulting neutral temperature enhancement can reach up to 50 K above 200 km altitude. Significant increase in the neutral density above 250 km altitude and in the neutral wind speed are found in the local region as well, lagging a few minutes after the Joule heating enhancement. We demonstrate that the energy deposited by the mesoscale electric field transfers primarily to the gravitational potential energy in the thermosphere.